Blackjack Theorem
Hands

Hard 16 vs Dealer 10: Hit or Stand?

Best play (6-deck, S17, DAS): Hit

You hold a hard 16 (no ace counted as 11) and the dealer shows a 10. Below is the correct basic-strategy decision computed by the Blackjack Theorem engine, and how it shifts with the table rules.

Where this sits in the chartSee the full chart →
Hard910A
15HHH
16HHH
17SSS

Dealer upcard across the top. The outlined cell is the hand on this page.

…until the count reaches +1

Hit is correct with a neutral shoe. If you count cards, the play flips to stand at a true count of +1 or higher.

HitTC 0 and below
StandTC +1 and up
Expected value per unit bet, neutral shoe
Stand-53.97%
Hit-54.00%
Double-107.99%
Difference0.02 pts

The two top rows are 0.02 points apart, and stand edges ahead of hit on the numbers above. The answer on this page is still hit: those EVs are computed for one full six-deck shoe, while basic strategy is the play that wins over every shoe composition you will actually be dealt. On a margin this thin the two can disagree — which is why this is the hand the count reverses first.

Computed by the engine for a full six-deck shoe. The true-count column comes from the same count-dependent table that powers the strategy charts.

By the rules

Table rulesCorrect play
6-Deck · S17 · DASH Hit
6-Deck · H17 · DASH Hit
6-Deck · S17 · DAS · SurrenderRh Surrender if allowed, else Hit
2-Deck · S17 · DASS Stand
8-Deck · H17 · DASS Stand
See the full chart and long-run results for your table.
Open the free blackjack simulator →Drill this hand →

FAQ

Should you hit or stand on hard 16 against a 10?

The mathematically correct play is: hit. This is for 6-deck, dealer stands on soft 17, DAS. It can change with other rules (see the table).

Does the dealer hitting soft 17 change hard 16 vs 10?

It can. The table above shows the play under both S17 and H17 so you can match your exact table.

Does the count change the correct play on hard 16 vs 10?

Yes. With a neutral shoe the play is hit, and it flips to stand at a true count of +1 or higher. The two plays sit 0.02 points apart at a full six-deck shoe, which is why a modest change in the count is enough to reverse them.